WNBA Live Model · Every Lock Logged
WNBA MODEL LEDGER
Every live pick the model makes, logged the moment it locks. During the game it reads the live sportsbook board in real time and locks its best spot before halftime: one OVER or UNDER at the exact number, book and price on your DraftKings, FanDuel or Bovada screen right then. Graded against the final, win or lose. No edits after the fact.
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EQUITY CURVE
Every graded pick in order, oldest to newest, at one unit each, paid at the price the lock was taken. Green marks are wins, red are losses and orange are pushes. The dashed line is break-even, the hollow square is the peak, and the shaded box is the deepest drawdown. Tap any point for the pick behind it.
Result tape
Equity
Win
Loss
Push
Peak
Break-even
FULL PICK LOG
Every graded pick, newest first. Tap a row to open the full read: the line, the sportsbook and price, the model's projected total, the final, and how far off it landed. Filter by result if you want; the summary numbers up top never move.
| Matchup | Pick | Model Projection | Final | Result | Net |
|---|
HOW THIS IS GRADED
The rules behind every number on this page, so you can judge the record on its own terms.
The model
A live, in-game engine. It prices the rest of the game against the live sportsbook board, then takes the side with edge and locks it before halftime at a real number. At most one pick per game, and no second guesses after the fact.
What counts
A pick is posted here once the game goes final and the total is graded against the locked line. Wins, losses and pushes all stay on the record. A push returns the stake, so it counts toward units risked but not toward win rate.
Net units
Every pick is one unit at the real price the lock named. A win at −120 pays +0.83 and a win at +104 pays +1.04. A loss is −1.00 and a push is 0.00. ROI is net units divided by total units risked.
Model accuracy
Each pick stores the model's projected total at the moment it locked. The ledger compares it to the final and shows the average miss in points, plus how often the projection landed within 10.